The Bowtie Economist's Daily Dose of 70-Word Wisdom
QE3 Despite Drought
Despite inevitably higher food prices starting this fall, stemming from a severe drought, the Fed will ignore this when they launch a third round of Quantitative Easing in September. It’s because the drought is a short-term event that will probably…
Read MoreVitamin C(hocolate)
The Friday File: Turns out people who eat chocolate on a regular basis (five or more times a week), tend to weigh about 5 to 7 pounds less than those who don’t. The key finding from a recent study was…
Read MoreDo The Math
Following the collapse of the U.S.S.R., 300 of their top mathematicians moved here. Their impact on American mathematicians was surprising. The number of papers published by American mathematicians whose research was most similar to that of the Russians dropped dramatically,…
Read MoreCash or Credit?
While stores have always been able to offer cash-paying customers a discount, the recent settlement with Visa, Mastercard and bank credit-card issuers now allows stores to add a charge (equal to the swipe fee) for credit-card payments. Since stores can…
Read MoreGoing Nowhere
If you were worried the economy might be treading water, relax, it is. Consumer spending is flat, consumer confidence and manufacturing activity are down and jobless claims are up. Moreover, a key index of leading economic indicators fell two of…
Read MorePaternalistic Policy
Unless welfare recipients are penniless, passing laws prohibiting them from spending their welfare money on booze, gambling, strippers and tattoos is pointless. These laws will simply encourage welfare recipients to spend any cash they earn on the prohibited activities. Even…
Read MoreInflation and Godot
While many are nervous the massively stimulative monetary policy engineered by the Fed will inevitably trigger inflation, those folks are waiting for Godot. Subtracting the current yield on a 10-year Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) bond (-0.637%) from the current…
Read MoreDivinely Different
Why are Americans significantly more religious than Europeans? In Europe, there are state churches that receive subsidies, and thus the clergy focus on politics and perquisites and not proselytizing. In addition, state-sponsored churches face virtually no competition, all but eliminating…
Read MoreLow Blow
US Interest rates this low are harmful. Investors buy higher-yielding foreign securities (and speculate in commodities) and foreigners borrow in US dollars (not local currency), putting upward pressure on foreign exchange rates. To prevent this, central banks buy US Treasuries…
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